How likely are you to become a victim of crime? Do you know your victim precipitation number?
Major cities receive the bulk of anti-crime funding due to larger police forces with expansive tax bases. Chicago’s violence has made national news yet it’s not even in the top ten for most violent places to live in America. That distinction falls on little places like East St. Louis, IL and Monroe, LA. Unfortunately, if these areas are not national spotlights, they’re most likely not receiving increased police force funding. National statistics and political wrangling detrimentally skew the funding of small cities and towns contributing to their crime rates. Due to these forced circumstances, federal anti-crime and police funding must be based on victim precipitation.
Victims Are A Crystal Ball
Victim precipitation is the statistical chance of a person falling prey to crime. A person’s VP number is based on where they live, age, criminal or victimization history, gender and socio-economic circumstances. These characteristics of victimization are most pronounced when studying violence as an epidemic. Traditionally, the theory stated a person’s actions or inactions are their responsibility that increase their projections of victimization. Now, that we understand violence as an epidemic similar to the spread of a disease, victim precipitation is more dependent on outlying circumstances especially where a person lives. As violence increases and spreads, residents VP number increases. Just think of the stories in the news such as carjackings in Middle-Class neighborhoods or shooting deaths of seniors sitting on their porches. Carjacking’s for late model Subarus will not allow a criminal to prosper. Senior citizens have the lowest violent crime victimization related to random shootings. Violence, like justice, is blind.
Predictive Policing Costs
Federal crime funding must be solely based and directed on victim precipitation predictive policing. In Chicago, police use victim precipitation as a model to direct their social services and outreach for potential criminals and victims. The areas with the highest crime are seeing an influx of social services, job programming and school funding. But Chicago also has a billion dollar plus police budget.
Small towns and cities struggle to raise $1 million for the police force. Taxes and business have steadily decreased across the nation, particularly the Rust Belt. As tax bases dwindle the opioid crisis flourishes in small cities and towns. A predictive policing system based on victim precipitation is a perfect means for these smaller locales to fight crime. Or is it? There are mixed reactions to systems such as PredPol. In the small town of Milpitas, California, the $37,000 a year fee for PredPol competed against new hire funds. Even though the system accurately predicted crime based on victimization rates, extra officers were not available to patrol these areas. Victim precipitation predictions must be funded while increasing federal funding for increased police hires.
Automating Crime Funding
Federal grants for increases in police funding are a plethora of confusion and obstruction. Politicians pass more legislation for business growth than police growth. In light of the recent anti-sanctuary city police funding we know safety is a political issue. Police funding must be automatically sent to police departments for the following:
1. When the chance of a person becoming a victim of crime in a city or town is over 1 in 50. Prime example is Wilmington, DE. In 2017 1 in every 55 people are liable to be victims of crime. Yet, only 1 of every 200 people may fall victim to crime in the entire state of Delaware. It’s an obvious victim precipitation rate of failure for small towns and cities.
2. Every police department that has a victim precipitation rate of 1 in 50 denotes a violence epidemic. The epidemics spread can be pinpointed by predictive policing systems. The systems must be automatically granted to these police departments from federal payment to the systems owner, not by the small budgeted police department.
3. When statistical results of the predictive policing system are debriefed police departments must be granted monies to cover their policing needs. This should include funds for new hiring, technology advancements and social service programs similar to Chicago’s successful programs.
21st Century Crime Fighting
Intelligence led policing is a focus in Criminal Justice education and training with billions spent every year. Due to budget restraints, many police departments lack technology. An increase in technology such as monitoring victim precipitation, predictive policing and upgrades to police grant processes brings independence police departments need for success. Nothing is random. Victimization is controlled by money and technology.
What’s your victim precipitation number? How will you combat it?